Longitudinal trajectories of albuminuria and risk of subclinical and clinical heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and coronary heart disease: the MESA study - Takeaways - MDSpire

Longitudinal trajectories of albuminuria and risk of subclinical and clinical heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and coronary heart disease: the MESA study

  • By

  • Soroush Masrouri

  • Parag A Chevli

  • Michael P Bancks

  • Saeid Mirzai

  • João A C Lima

  • David A Bluemke

  • Neha J Pagidipati

  • Michael D Shapiro

  • November 3, 2025

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    The study analyzed urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) trajectories over 5- and 10-year periods in relation to heart failure and cardiovascular diseases.

  • 2

    Three distinct UACR trajectory groups were identified: 'slow rise at low level', 'slow rise at medium level', and 'sustained medium to high' or 'rapid rise'.

  • 3

    Participants in the 'sustained medium to high' and 'rapid rise' UACR groups had significantly increased risks of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and coronary heart disease.

  • 4

    Associations between UACR trajectories and heart failure remained significant even among individuals with normoalbuminuria at baseline.

  • 5

    The findings suggest that progressive increases in UACR are early markers of cardiovascular risk, particularly for heart failure.

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